Don't be shellfish...
For the most part, there is general theme that I try to cover in this series. Usually, I like to concentrate on the heavily owned guys, say, in the top-100. And within that 100-or-so range, I try to focus on ones that scare the shittake mushroom out of us. Or, players who show us something that is unexpected. A new skill or the deterioration of production are prodded, shaken (not stirred) until we find a suitable conclusion. This is what I do. And while*Jhoulys Chacin*definitely does not fit the former of what I cover, he does fit the latter quite well. And while he won’t get confused as a player in the top-100, there was a time and a place not too long ago when he was considered a guy with potential, and a pitcher, who, if everything came together, could be a lot more. Plus, you know, this is my series, I do what I want.
Coming off a season where Chacin had a career low K/9 of 5.87, a career high BB/9 of 4.17, a career high HR/9 of 1.30 and an ERA of 4.43 with a FIP of 5.15, well, let’s just say not much was expected for 2013. While he has an even lower K/9 than last year, he has been able to cut his BB/9 in half, to the tune of 2.43. And, also has somehow figured out how to suppress the gopher ball, to a career low 0.35 HR/9. These peripherals have fueled a career best 3.24 ERA and 3.17 FIP. Now, you’ll notice that I used the word ‘career’ a lot. The reason is, besides the pedestrian strikeout rate, we are seeing an entirely new pitcher. And, in this case, a fantasy relevant pitcher.
Obviously, your staff cannot be full of guys named Kershaw and Strasburg and Price. I mean, they can, but then, who’s on your offense? Darwin Barney and*Lyle Overbay? Cool story, bro. So, besides the one ace and/or 2nd starter and bullpen pieces, you’re basically left with a number of high-risk/high-reward fillers and*#3 starters to fill your fantasy staff. Chacin has now become a fusion of both. And remember, he’s been able to do this in one of the most homer friendly ballparks in the Majors. In fact, Chacin’s HR/FB rate of 5.7% is lower than Matt Harvey, Clayton Kershaw, and Adam Wainwright. Wait, what?
When I find a pitcher doing what he’s not supposed to be doing, good or bad, I want to see the trends in his Plate Discipline numbers.
For the most part, there is general theme that I try to cover in this series. Usually, I like to concentrate on the heavily owned guys, say, in the top-100. And within that 100-or-so range, I try to focus on ones that scare the shittake mushroom out of us. Or, players who show us something that is unexpected. A new skill or the deterioration of production are prodded, shaken (not stirred) until we find a suitable conclusion. This is what I do. And while*Jhoulys Chacin*definitely does not fit the former of what I cover, he does fit the latter quite well. And while he won’t get confused as a player in the top-100, there was a time and a place not too long ago when he was considered a guy with potential, and a pitcher, who, if everything came together, could be a lot more. Plus, you know, this is my series, I do what I want.
Coming off a season where Chacin had a career low K/9 of 5.87, a career high BB/9 of 4.17, a career high HR/9 of 1.30 and an ERA of 4.43 with a FIP of 5.15, well, let’s just say not much was expected for 2013. While he has an even lower K/9 than last year, he has been able to cut his BB/9 in half, to the tune of 2.43. And, also has somehow figured out how to suppress the gopher ball, to a career low 0.35 HR/9. These peripherals have fueled a career best 3.24 ERA and 3.17 FIP. Now, you’ll notice that I used the word ‘career’ a lot. The reason is, besides the pedestrian strikeout rate, we are seeing an entirely new pitcher. And, in this case, a fantasy relevant pitcher.
Obviously, your staff cannot be full of guys named Kershaw and Strasburg and Price. I mean, they can, but then, who’s on your offense? Darwin Barney and*Lyle Overbay? Cool story, bro. So, besides the one ace and/or 2nd starter and bullpen pieces, you’re basically left with a number of high-risk/high-reward fillers and*#3 starters to fill your fantasy staff. Chacin has now become a fusion of both. And remember, he’s been able to do this in one of the most homer friendly ballparks in the Majors. In fact, Chacin’s HR/FB rate of 5.7% is lower than Matt Harvey, Clayton Kershaw, and Adam Wainwright. Wait, what?
When I find a pitcher doing what he’s not supposed to be doing, good or bad, I want to see the trends in his Plate Discipline numbers.
Contact% | Zone% | SwStr% |